Why The Conjuring Last Rites Box Office Numbers Will Likely Break Records

The most recent box office numbers for The Conjuring Last Rites are expected to set records for The Conjuring Universe. Colloquially known as The Conjuring 4, the movie will release nationwide in US theaters on September 5, 2025, and the three-day forecast for the film’s opening weekend is looking optimistic. In early August, it was predicted that this sequel to The Conjuring: The Devil Made Me Do It would only make $27M-$36M over that time, only for it to be sharply increased to $45M-$50M by the end of month. And now a recent report has pushed the box office predictions for The Conjuring 4 even further.

What are the latest The Conjuring 4 box office predictions?

The most recent The Conjuring Last Rites box office predictions have the movie earning a whopping $64.3M (in the range between $60 million and $70 million) in its opening weekend in 3700 theaters.

This forecast comes from a September 4 report from BoxOfficeTheory, which compares the number to the $35M+ figure from standard industry tracking. The $64M prediction stems from a significant jump in interest for The Conjuring: Last Rites in the runup to its release. The movie “has exceeded even the most optimistic expectations for pre-sale trends” and its aggressive marketing campaign has helped it generate “the best pre-sales of any horror film so far in 2025.” The pitch that The Conjuring 4 would be the so-called last ride for the Warrens, the paranormal investigators in the franchise, have pushed fans to find out what happens.

It also helps that the film will be showing at all of the premium screens, like IMAX. Demon Slayer Infinity Castle and Downton Abbey: The Grand Finale could make a dent in The Conjuring 4’s box office numbers when they release next week, but they are in entirely different genres. It won’t be until the sports-horror film Him releases on September 19 that the movie will face more direct competition.

Box office forecasts for the movie from other sites are somewhere between the fairly wide range between the $35M and $64M predictions. Variety notes that Warner Bros. and New Line are the ones conservatively predicting a $35M start, while other experts believe that $55M is a better estimate. Deadline is not as bullish, projecting that it will earn over $40M in its domestic opener, while Box Office Pro predicts a range of $40M-$50M.

For a point of comparison to the opening performance for other movies in The Conjuring franchise, The Devil Made Me Do It (2021) only got $24.1 million, The Nun 2 (2023) received $32.6 million, The Conjuring (2013) earned $41.8 million, and The Conjuring 2 (2016) amassed $40.4 million. The highest opener for the movie series actually belongs to The Nun, which made an incredible $53.8 million. If The Conjuring 4 is able to get close to the $64 million figure, though, it will set a new record for the horror franchise. Either way, it is sure to make more than enough to be the top film at the box office for September 5 to 7.

If we’re including worldwide opening weekend sales at the international box office, The Conjuring: Last Rites is expected to earn somewhere between $80 million and $100 million. The films in The Conjuring Universe have consistently performed well overseas, much better than superhero films lately at least, so it’s expected that it will be much the same here. Given that the budget for the movie is only $55 million, it’s right on track to become profitable within a matter of weeks.

Those heading to the theaters may want to look at the various Annabelle doll popcorn buckets before they are sold out. For those more interested in watching the movie via streaming, it is expected to drop on HBO Max in 2026.